Timing the Market of 2012

For many investors, the global stock market crash of 2008 show why timing the market is necessary, Since 1997 market crashed, the Asian financial crisis 1997, the technology crash 1999 and the sub prime-led financial crisis 2008 and many Asian Markets fell by as much as 50%  from their peak to bottom each time.

The Strategy

The stock markets long term upward curve is filled with many short lived peaks and valleys isn't it smarter in the market only when price are going up?

      If you believe in timing the market, the answer is Yes. You should only invest at the low and get out at the top. Then park your  money and cash is till stock hit another low before reinvesting and selling high, you will make a lot of money.

     But there's only one problem with this strategy : Nobody yet knew how to do it right!

But to benefit from this strategy, you have to get it right not once, but twice. You have to chose a correct entry point (when to exit the market is high).

Right point to buy

   When the market is nearing or at it's bottom, it's the best time to invest. But most the people around you wont't be talking much about the market. If they do, it's most likely that they would be complaining about how much they lost from their stock or unit trust.

   When they share with your honor stories of their huge losses, it is extremely difficult emotionally to ''enter'' the market at point. Further more, it's likely to be when the underlying economy is in a recession, when their are plenty of bad news.

   To buy at right time is tough because you feel that you're wrong in the short term, even if you have made right decision at the right time. The market full further before recovering. The timing may be right if you're prepared to wait patiently for the recovery.

   But most get impatient or start second-guessing themselves if the market does not immediately go up after they buy in on dips. That's why it's not easy to buy at the right time.

Right point to sell

To time the market properly, you have to sell when the market is high. But when the market is at it's peak, most will be boasting about their big gains, and it's only human nature to think the gain will grow even more and get good times will continue (or at least that they will get out in time!).

   The will many factors to enter the market , at precisely the wrong time! instead of getting out of the market, many called market timers will enter the market at this point.

The reality

Retail investors tend to go with their emotions, As a result, they end up buying, when prices are expensive, and selling, when prices are cheap. Instead of following  ''buy low,sell high'' , they end up doing the opposite.

    To succeed in timing the market,  you need a good grip on your emotions and good sense of the history of stock markets. But if you think it's to be difficult to overcome the pitfalls, it's best to explore other investment strategies.

China stimulus unnecessary, risks long-term damage

China stimulus unnecessary, risks long-term damage: BEIJING (Reuters) - China does not need massive fiscal stimulus to stabilize growth and calm investors fretting that the global economy may slip back into a similar crisis as 2008-2009, top policy advisers said on Wednesday.

Buy Dip Sale High

Buy Dip Sale High:

For who buy in during the share big dip during the 3 trading days should making good profit by now. From the share dip during the bad news from Greek till now USD value fly high and share rebound, what really had be done?

Actually nothing just a few powerful people said, (not yet do) will save Europe and this type of talking had done before, so to made profit in share is not hard just that you need to understand that this is fully a manipulate money game.

Just that we as a retail investor did not had the technology to access information and by only limited info plus need to filter manipulate news had make us hard to make profit. For me I had trading share market by thinking that this is a manipulate money game had help me made profit in ever dip some far.

Companies and stocks which may perform well even when rupee falls

Companies and stocks which may perform well even when rupee falls: Global Offshore, ADF Foods, Vikas WSP, & Camlin Fine Sciences are some of the stocks that are likely to reap a windfall and may not be on investors' radar.

Malaysia Market

Malaysia Market

FBM KLCI continually ended positive as investors’ confident backed due to China wants to stimulate their economy. The FBM KLCI ended up by 3.8 points last Friday to 1,554.9 and The FKLI spot month contract closed higher by 3.0 points to 1,552.5 the futures index closed at a volume of 9,397 lots and open interest at 22,771 contracts.

European stocks were little changed, following last week’s rally for the region’s equity benchmark, as a selloff in banks offset Greek opinion polls that eased concern the country will leave the euro. Meanwhile, Asian markets ended higher on Monday after opinion polls in Greece showed a lead for a party favoring the country’s economic bailout in upcoming elections, with mainland Chinese stocks rising amid expectations for a policy stimulus.

Today market may see to be traded higher due to investors’ confident backed as China wants to stimulate their economy and followed by better sentiment in European countries.  We see new support levels at 1550 and 1537 while the resistance levels are at 1561 and 1572.

US Market

US markets closed for US Memorial Day.

U.S. stock-index futures advanced as Greece’s pro-bailout New Democracy party came top in opinion polls before next month’s election, boosting speculation the nation can implement austerity measures and keep the euro.

 Malaysia Market

FBM KLCI continually ended positive as investors’ confident backed due to China wants to stimulate their economy. The FBM KLCI ended up by 3.8 points last Friday to 1,554.9 and The FKLI spot month contract closed higher by 3.0 points to 1,552.5 the futures index closed at a volume of 9,397 lots and open interest at 22,771 contracts.

European stocks were little changed, following last week’s rally for the region’s equity benchmark, as a selloff in banks offset Greek opinion polls that eased concern the country will leave the euro. Meanwhile, Asian markets ended higher on Monday after opinion polls in Greece showed a lead for a party favoring the country’s economic bailout in upcoming elections, with mainland Chinese stocks rising amid expectations for a policy stimulus.

Today market may see to be traded higher due to investors’ confident backed as China wants to stimulate their economy and followed by better sentiment in European countries.  We see new support levels at 1550 and 1537 while the resistance levels are at 1561 and 1572.

US Market

US markets closed for US Memorial Day.

U.S. stock-index futures advanced as Greece’s pro-bailout New Democracy party came top in opinion polls before next month’s election, boosting speculation the nation can implement austerity measures and keep the euro.

FCPO

Crude Palm Oil

Crude palm oil futures traded on Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange closed higher on Monday, 28 May 29, 2012 on strong demand of the Muslim fasting month of Ramadan in July and improved sentiment following political developments in Greece prompted investors to cover short position.

Investors are also keeping a close watch on weather patterns in the region as a likely return of the El Nino weather pattern, usually associated with drier and reduced rainfall, could affect yields and slow palm oil output in Southeast Asia.

The benchmark August palm oil futures ended 14 points higher to close at RM3, 144 per metric ton after trade within range of RM3,129 to RM3,158. Price has slipped about 9% this month.

The palm oil prices will likely be choppy in coming sessions, ahead of the Greek elections, with any developments in the country causing further volatility in the market.

For today, the resistance pegged at 3,184 and next resistance at 3,217. The support level located at 3,129 and next support level will be 3,062.

 
Soybean (Bloomberg)

Soy prices in Rosario closed flat at between 1,500-1,510 pesos per tonne ($335-$338), unchanged from the previous session on Thursday due to a public holiday in the United States that stripped the market of its usual direction.

Europe stocks trim losses after EC report

Europe stocks trim losses after EC report:
LONDON (MarketWatch) -- European stock markets trimmed losses in midday trade on Wednesday, as media reports said the European Commission called for a banking union in the region. The commission also mentioned the possibility of directly recapitalizing banks through the euro zone's permanent bailout fund, the European Stability Mechanism. The Stoxx Europe 600 index was off 0.8% at 242.32, after trading as low as 240.64 earlier in the session. Spain's IBEX 35 index also trimmed losses and traded 0.9% lower at 6,194.90, improved from a 2.6% loss in earlier action. U.K.'s FTSE 100 index slipped 1.3% to 5,320.66, while the CAC 40 index slumped 1% to 3,054.65. Germany's DAX 30 index dropped 0.7% to 6,355.20.
Market Pulse Stories are Rapid-fire, short news bursts on stocks and markets as they move. Visit MarketWatch.com for more information on this news.

Facebook's Zuckerberg, Thiel sell shares

Facebook's Zuckerberg, Thiel sell shares:
SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- Facebook Inc. Chief Executive Mark Zuckerberg has sold 30.2 million shares and director Peter Thiel has sold 16.8 million shares of the social-networking company, according to securities filings published late Tuesday. The sales confirm plans detailed in a prospectus before Friday's $16 billion IPO. Zuckerberg sold 30.2 million shares at a price of $37.58 for gross proceeds of $1.13 billion; Thiel sold 16.8 million shares for gross proceeds of $633 million. Facebook insiders had told prospective shareholders of their plans in an S-1 filing last week. Facebook shares were down 0.8% after hours at $30.74.
Market Pulse Stories are Rapid-fire, short news bursts on stocks and markets as they move. Visit MarketWatch.com for more information on this news.

Secrets To Multi-Million Dollar Success: Knowing When To Fire Clients

Secrets To Multi-Million Dollar Success: Knowing When To Fire Clients: "If the phone rings and you cringe, it's time for that client to go. Life is too short, we're too good at what we do," Rigas told audience members at the Women Advisors Forum conference in Dallas on Tuesday. "There is a rookie out there, there is somebody else that will be really, really happy to serve that client."

QE3 will work under the right circumstances. But I don’t believe such circumstances prevail at this time

QE3 will work under the right circumstances. But I don’t believe such circumstances prevail at this time:

“As popular as it might be in some quarters to rule out further LSAPs (QE3, as it is known), I do not think this option can be taken off the table. QE3 will work under the right circumstances. But I don’t believe such circumstances prevail at this time.”

The above commentary was from a speech this morning by Dennis Lockhart – President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta – at the Institute of Regulation & Risk in Tokyo, Japan. There, Lockhart argued that although the U.S. economy is in a “phase…when sustained monetary accommodation is warranted to keep the U.S. economic recovery going,” the current environment does not warrant a third round of money printing, at least not yet.

Additional highlights from the Atlanta Fed President’s speech included:
“Circumstances today in the United States call for continued measured efforts to quicken the pace of recovery and shrink unemployment, while keeping inflation controlled and close to the FOMC’s official target of 2 percent. Those efforts for the time being should fall in the realm of communications. Current economic data continue to be a mix of positives and negatives. Consumer activity is continuing to grow, and manufacturing is expanding. At the same time, we’ve seen a recent slowdown in business investment, and the pace of job creation has weakened.”

“There are larger-than-normal risks to my outlook, however. Chief among them is the potential for broad spillover from Europe to the U.S. and global economy resulting from financial system disruption as well as further economic slowdown.”

Thinks like Fundamentalist and Trade like Technical Analysis

Thinks like Fundamentalist and Trade like Technical Analysis:

Investing

Investing means to commit (money or capital) in order to gain a financial return: invested their
savings in stocks and bonds. (Source: Dictionary.com)
How to start investing?

First, you must ensure you have enough savings of at least 3-6 months of your monthly salary for
investment before you decide to invest in the stock market. Make sure you have some cash funds
that are not meant for investment in case of emergency.
Convenience

With the advances in technology, you can trade anywhere at any time as long as the markets you
trade in are open. You can also monitor and manage your investment online should you decide to
trade online.

Know your objective for investing
Keep your objective clear – whether it is for your children’s education or for your own future
savings, your investment should be focus on stocks that offers good capital growth. Meanwhile, if
you are investing for your retirement fund, you should focus investing in stocks that offers a
consistent income stream.

Know your risk appetite…
Are you a high risk taker or low risk taker? Investing in stocks that provide high returns tend to
have higher risk while stocks which have steady growth (low risk) may provide with lower
investment returns. You can also diversity your investment by having a mixture of high to low risk
stocks.

Discipline
You must be disciplined in your investment plan/strategy and stick to it. If your stock is losing
money, ensure that you have a stop loss strategy in place (between 3-5% is recommended,
depending on your risk appetite).

Do not put all your eggs in one basket…
Learn to manage your risk. Never put all you money onto one stock. Always diversify your
investment so that you can still have some investment returns if one of your investments turns out
bad.

Know what you are getting into
You should always research the company you invest in – what business are they in, competitive
edge of the company, how do they generate income, the company’s business cycle, whether they
are a financial stable company. You should study the fundamentals of the company to ensure that
you are investing in a financially sound company. You can also look at technical studies to
determine the best entry and exit points in your investment.


Say ‘NO’ to rumours
Never buy a stock based on rumours. The stock could be subjected to speculative play, which
normally ends very fast. You could end up in the losing end once the speculators exit the stock.
Volatility

Do note that the stock market is a volatile place. Stocks may be affected by regional and/or global
markets, economics news, cancellation of contracts, commodities prices, political stability and etc.
Beside the returns of your investment…
The company may reward shareholders through dividends, bonus issues, right issues and etc.
How do you select stocks?

Again, it depends on your investment plan and risk appetite. You can choose to invest in (i)
developing companies (just started its business – high risk), (ii) growing companies (strong growth
in sales and profits – huge potential returns), (iii) maturing companies (growth not as exciting as
growth stock, potential return lower – low risk) or (iv) declining companies (unable to grow as fast
the economy/industry growth rate – high risk, low returns). It is best to invest in companies that
have high demand in products or services, low debt to equity ratio, efficient management of
shareholders fund and ability to survive the ups and downs of the market despite increase in
competition.

Fundamental Analysis
A method of evaluating a security by attempting to measure its intrinsic value by examining related
economic, financial and other qualitative and quantitative factors. Fundamental analysts attempt to
study everything that can affect the security’s value, including macroeconomic factors (like the
overall economy and industrial conditions) and individually specific factors (like the financial
condition and management of companies). The end goal of performing fundamental analysis is to
produce a value that an investor can compare with the security’s current price in hopes of figuring
out what sort of position to take with that security – i.e. underpriced – buy, overpriced – sell.
Fundamental analysts use real data to evaluate a security’s value – such as financial statement to
evaluate stocks.

Trade and Invest in Stock Market

Trade and Invest in Stock Market:

Fundamental of Investment is cause,demand and supply,intrinsic value,has to know why.The problem is speed and quantity,interpretation,insider effect.In Technical Analysts it's show market action,price movement and trend,historical and effect of speculative.
Having selected shares to include in your portfolio you must then have an Exit Strategy in the event that these shares show signs of reversing. Simply set an Early Exit price to ensure that the stocks you buy never generate losses.
This is a simple description of a Trading Plan. It holds the basics for selecting stocks that have a good probability of increasing in price and risk management to protect your capital. These three ingredients are the key to success in stock trading.
The Plan will set certain guidelines for:
What stocks to buy
When to buy
When to sell
Investing is making your money work for you by getting your money to generate more money. Investing in stocks has consistently proven to be one of the most profitable forms of investment available.
The benefits include:
Immediate Buy/Sell so you can sell part of your investment any time.
Very low transaction cost.
The freedom to work at your own place, at your pace in your own time.
Easy monitoring — log in to the market from anywhere in the world.
Being able to maximise returns whilst spreading your risk.
A predictable form of investment if you know what you’re doing.
Putting you in control and freeing you of fund management fees.
Considerable tax advantages.
Things to watch out for:
The market can be a volatile place.
But with the right strategy and commitment anytime is the right tome to invest.The decission is most important thing in a market trade;-buy,sell or hold,but many are investors make a wrong decission buy at the high price then sell the low price.Always trade in the market trend but a lot of investors facing difficulty in exit with the rigth time at the end they miss the boat.So the better way to invest is think like fundamentalist and trade like a technical analysts.Warren Buffet always said ''Be greedy when people are afraid and Be afraid when people are greedy.If you follow this way it's gonna show you a better rezult on your portfolio of investment.Eventhought in bull or bear market trend you can still make money from your investment,but don't not put all your eggs in one busket,always diversified your investment in different sector of business.The Rich people invest the money while the poor people spend their money.Whether you want to choose rich way class or poor way class the decission on your hand.You keep the answer and think abuot it,do not answer for myself but answer for your self.Here are some photos I'm share with you how the market is function and works;

Not Profitable For FBM KLCI To Mark Lower

Not Profitable For FBM KLCI To Mark Lower:

After a few days of FBM KLCI index mark down, show low vol of trading mean that this mark down did not cause any retail investor to panic. Actually I should said that now retail investor is not many in the market to cause any panic.

For FBM KLCI to go lower will not bring profit to fund manager so I think now share market is waiting a small good news to jump up again.

The 7 Habits Of A Highly Successful Trader

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Trading Strategy Part 1

Trading Strategy Part 2

Weekly Technical Overview of the Major Currencies and ... - DailyFX

Weekly Technical Overview of the Major Currencies and ... - DailyFX

www.dailyfx.com/forex/technical/article/fx_technical_weekly/2012/0...

1 day ago – EUR/USD:The market remains under intense pressure and the focus for now is squarely on a retest of the 2012 lows from January at 1.2625.

Malaysia Market Update

FBM KLCI rebounded after four days drop as investors bargain hunting over blue chip stock and followed by regional bounce back. The FBM KLCI ended up by 8.2 points to 1,544.2 and the most active counters were seen Ariantec Global, Petronas Chemicals, Parkson Holdings and JCY International.

The FKLI spot month contract surged by 10.0 points to 1,534.0 the futures index closed at a volume of 11,140 lots and open interest at 29,123 contracts.

European stocks declined for a fourth day as the region’s central bank paused lending to some Greek banks and speculation mounted that Spanish banks may have their credit ratings cut at Moody’s Investors Service.  Meanwhile, mainland Chinese and Taiwanese stocks led most Asian markets higher Thursday on relief buying after a string of weak performances, although Hong Kong shares suffered a late retreat amid lingering worries over Greece.

Today market may see to be traded lower due to poor condition on external factors such as a disappointing US economy data last night and concern that credit ratings for Spanish banks would be cut.  We see remain support levels at 1523 and 1504 while the resistance levels are at 1540 and 1553.


US Market

U.S. stocks hit a four-month low on Thursday as rising Spanish bond yields increased investor anxiety over that country's banks and another round of weak data undermined hopes for U.S. economic recovery. The Dow Jones industrial average dropped 156.06 points, or 1.24 percent, to 12,442.49. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index fell 19.94 points, or 1.51 percent, to 1,304.86 and The Nasdaq Composite Index lost 60.35 points, or 2.10 percent, to 2,813.69.

Gas Malaysia to raise US$234m in IPOs

Gas Malaysia to raise US$234m in IPOs

Business Times - Malaysia‎ - 2 days ago

Gas Malaysia Bhd, part of an energy distributor linked to Malaysianbillionaire Syed Mokhtar Al- Bukhary, said it wants to raise about RM734 ...

Bursa Malaysia (KLSE) Daily Info Edge Zone

Bursa Malaysia (KLSE) Daily Info Edge Zone
FBM KLCI next support will be at 1,520 level. However, the trading vol is low so likely this is the market mark down due to the negative news.

Pestech to raise RM12.88mil from IPO

Pestech to raise RM12.88mil from IPO

1. Pestech to raise RM12.88mil from IPO
   

   Malaysia Star‎ -

   ... company Pestech International Bhd plans to raise RM12.88mil from its listing ... Another RM6mil raised from the IPO will be used to pay off its ...

10 Step to Successful Financial Planning

Ernst & Young insight: Ten steps to a successful financial plan ...

business.financialpost.com/2012/05/15/ernst-young-insight-ten-steps-...

1 day ago – Here are 10 helpful tips for developing good financial plans — inbusiness and in life — to take you where you want to go.

FND Consultancy

http://www.youtube.com/user/fndrmanagement

Candlesticks - Vol 10 - Harami

Malaysia Market

Malaysia Market

FBM KLCI slumped for forth day as investors panics over Euro market and US market continually dropping. The FBM KLCI ended down by 25.0 points to 1,536.004 and the most active counters were seen Petronas Chemical, UEM Land, RHB Capital and Genting.

The FKLI spot month contract dropped by 25.5 point to 1,524.0 the futures index closed at a volume of 12,491 lots and open interest at 29,859 contracts.

European stocks dropped for a third day, to their lowest level this year, amid growing concern Greece will be forced to leave the euro area. Meanwhile, Asian stocks fell, with a regional benchmark index headed for its biggest loss this year, as Greece’s move to call new elections increased concern the country will leave the euro and derail efforts to contain the region’s debt crisis.

Today market may see continually to be traded lower as Greece’s deb crisis worsening offset better-than- estimated on U.S housing starts and industrial production.  We see support levels at 1523 and 1504 while the resistance levels are at 1540 and 1553.


US Market

U.S. stocks retreated Wednesday as anxiety over Greece's troubles derailed enthusiasm that came with upbeat economic reports on U.S. industrial output and housing. Down for a 10th out of the last 11 sessions, the Dow industrials fell 33.45 points, or 0.3%, to 12,598.55, its lowest close since January. The S&P 500 Index declined 5.86 points, or 0.4%, to 1,324.80. The Nasdaq Composite shed 19.72 points, or 0.7%, to 2,874.04.

FKLI

Crude Palm Oil
Crude palm oil futures traded on Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange continued to plunge yesterday as concerns over the ongoing European debt crisis and Greece deepens. Prices of the tropical oil were not exempted from the overall bloody markets as it declined the most in more than 14 months.

The market may see a slight rebound today as investors holding short positions for the previous few days lock in profits. Resistance is at RM3,140 and RM3,195 while support is at RM3,030 and further down at RM3,000.

Soybean (Bloomberg)

Soybean futures for July delivery gained 0.6 percent, capping the first two-day gain since April 30. US export sales of soybeans, soybean meal and soy oil were surveyed to have increased in the week ended May 10, compared with a year earlier.

According to Oil World, global soybean production may climb 16 percent in the next year as South American crops recover from drought and farmers in the US boost planting.

gulfnews : Asian banks offer holistic services

gulfnews : Asian banks offer holistic services

Stocks to Watch: Stocks to watch Tuesday: Books-A-Million, Ulta

Stocks to Watch: Stocks to watch Tuesday: Books-A-Million, Ulta: A hodge podge of corporate developments for investors to sort through early Tuesday.

Facebook changes IPO pitch in Boston, scraps video

Facebook changes IPO pitch in Boston, scraps video: BOSTON (Reuters) - Facebook Inc's initial public offering pitch played to some bad reviews in New York, so for its Boston audience on Tuesday, the 30-minute video was scrapped and the company took more questions from analysts and potential investors.