Friday, May 4, 2012
Saturday, April 28, 2012
Friday, April 27, 2012
Wednesday, April 25, 2012
Friday, April 20, 2012
Thursday, April 19, 2012
Malaysia and US Market
Malaysia Market
FBM KLCI end slightly higher weak rebound as investors sentiment mixed by news that IMF expects better for US economy this year and concerned over Euro debt crisis. The FBM KLCI closed up by 2.7 points to 1,598.9, the most active counters were seen in Metronic Global, Ariantec Global, Supercomnet Technologies and Focus Dynamics
The FKLI spot month contract closed down by 4.0 point to 1,594.0 the futures index closed at a volume of 4,213 lots and open interest at 28,239 contracts.
European stocks declined as Bank of England policy maker Adam Posen ended his support for more stimulus, falling house prices signaled slowing growth in China and bad loans surged in Spain. Meanwhile Asian stocks rose, with the regional benchmark index headed for its biggest gain this month, after the International Monetary Fund raised global economic forecasts and Spain sold more debt than targeted, boosting the earnings outlook for exporters.
Today market may see to traded lower as frail rebound yesterday may continue to be negative sentiment followed by lower corporate result among biggest company in the world. We remain see support levels stick at 1591 and 1584 while the resistance levels are at 1611 and 1621.
US Market
U.S. stocks fell, after the biggest advance in more than a month for the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index, as Intel Corp. and International Business Machines Corp. drove a slump in technology shares after reporting results. The S&P 500 fell 0.4 percent to 1,385.14, The Dow Jones Industrial Average slid 82.79 points, or 0.6 percent, to 13,032.75. About 5.9 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges, or 12 percent below the three-month average.
Tuesday, April 17, 2012
Sunday, April 15, 2012
Tuesday, April 10, 2012
Sunday, April 1, 2012
WEEKLY HIGHLIGHTS
WEEKLY HIGHLIGHTS
• The FBM KLCI rose to a 2-week intraday high of 1,587.1 points on Friday before closing at 1,585.8 points to register a gain of 0.9% for the week.
• Regional markets generally closed lower following weak economic data from Europe.
• Looking ahead, the performance of the local and regional markets will depend on improvement in U.S. economic activities and developments in the Eurozone.
STOCKMARKET COMMENTARY
The local market bucked regional markets with gains throughout the week on buying of lower liners and selected index stocks. After touching a two-week intraday high of 1,587.1 points on Friday, the FBM KLCI subsequently closed at 1,585.8 points to register a gain of 0.9% for the week. Average daily trading volume increased to 2.5bil from 1.5bil in the preceding week while daily turnover in value terms eased to RM1.6bil from RM1.7bil over the same period.
Regional markets generally closed lower as investors turned more cautious about economic activities in Europe and China.
The China ‘H’ shares and Hong Kong markets fell by 5% and 3% respectively for the week. However, ASEAN markets fared better with the Thailand and Indonesia markets remaining well-supported.
On Wall Street, the Dow moved in a tight trading range and remained above 13,000 points. Lacklustre economic news from Europe subsequently caused sentiment to weaken with the Dow registering a weekly
loss of 1.1% to close at 13,080.7 points. The broader-based S&P 500 index was 0.5% lower at 1,397.1 points over the week.
The Nasdaq edged up by 0.4% to 3,067.9 points over the same period.
In the U.S., housing starts were sustained at 698,000 units in February compared to a 39-month high of 706,000 units in January. However, existing home sales declined by 0.9% on a month-on-month basis to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.59mil units in February from 4.63mil units in January. The new home sales declined by 1.6% month-on-month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 313,000 units from
318,000 units over the same period.
For the second straight month, the Eurozone’s PMI Composite Output Index remained below 50 with a month-on-month decline of 1.2% to 48.7 in March from 49.3 in February, signalling that Eurozone’s
GDP may continue to decline. Crude oil prices eased to US$106.47/brl to register a weekly loss of 0.6% following an increase in U.S. oil inventories. On the regional front, inflation rates in Singapore and Hong Kong eased to 4.6% and 4.7% respectively in February from 4.8% and 6.1% respectively in January
amid lower food prices.
On the local front, Malaysia’s inflation rate eased to a 14-month low of 2.2% in February from 2.7% in January due to lower food & beverage prices. Food & beverage prices eased to 2.9% from 4.8% over the
same period due mainly to the high base effect of the same period in 2011. Malaysia’s foreign reserves were maintained at RM427bil as at 15 March 2012 on account of sustained capital inflows and positive trade balance. On a weekly basis, the Ringgit weakened by 0.9% to close at RM3.077 against the US$ while on a year-to-date basis, the Ringgit appreciated by 2.9% against the greenback.
Looking ahead, the local market is anticipated to move in tandem with overseas markets as investors continue to monitor U.S. economic activities and developments in the Eurozone.
At the FBM KLCI’s closing level of 1,585.8 points on 23rd March 2012, the local stock market is trading at a prospective P/E of 15.8x on 2012 earnings, which is lower than its 10-year average P/E ratio of 16.7x. The local market is supported by a gross dividend yield of about 4.1% which exceeds the 12-month fixed deposit rate of 3.15%. Other Markets’ Performance 23 Mar'12 16 Mar'12 % Weekly
Dow Jones 13,081 13,233 -1.1 Nasdaq 3,068 3,055 +0.4 TOPIX 853 867 -1.6 SH Comp 2,350 2,405 -2.3 China*, H share 10,658 11,216 -5.0 MSCI China 5,920 6,162 -3.9 Hong Kong 20,669 21,318 -3.0
Taiwan 8,077 8,055 +0.3 South Korea 2,027 2,034 -0.4 Singapore 2,990 3,011 -0.7 Thailand 1,194 1,190 +0.4 Indonesia 4,042^ 4,029 +0.3 * Hang Seng China Enterprises Index ^ Index as at 22 Mar`12
Bursa Securities Market Valuations^ 23 Mar'12 16 Mar'12 10 yr av.*
FBM KLCI 1,585.83 1,571.40 - PER'12 (x) 15.79 15.64 16.67 Price/NTA(x) 5.14 5.15 2.79
3mth InterBk 3.19% 3.19% 3.12% 12mth FD, % 3.15% 3.15% - *2002-2011 average
^PMB In-House Statistics Malaysia’s Economic Snapshot 2010 2011 2012F GDP growth, % 7.2 5.1 4.5
Inflation, % 1.7 3.2 2.7
F=forecast
Bursa Securities 10 year P/E Ratio 10 15 20 25 30 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 P/E Ratio (x) Average: 16.7x 23 Mar'12 P/E on 2012 earnings: 15.8x
BOND MARKET COMMENTARY
For the fortnight ended 23rd March 2012, the U.S. Treasury market weakened as investors
shifted to higher-yielding assets on account of the improving outlook for the U.S. economy. The 3, 5 and 10-year Treasury yields rose by between 10 basis points (bps) and 20 bps to 0.54%, 1.08% and 2.23%
respectively over the fortnight.
The Malaysian Government Securities (MGS) market weakened on profit taking.
The weakening of the Ringgit also dampened sentiment. The 3, 5 and 10-year MGS yields
rose by between 7 bps and 13 bps to 3.07%, 3.29% and 3.61% respectively over the fortnight.
The local corporate bond market weakened in line with the MGS as the 3, 5 and 10-year
AAA corporate bond yields rose by between 7 bps and 9 bps to 3.70%, 3.95% and 4.36%
respectively over the fortnight. In the money market, the spread of the 3- month Kuala Lumpur Interbank Offer Rate (KLIBOR) over the yield of the 3-month U.S. Treasury bill rose to 312 bps from 311
bps over the fortnight ago as the 3-month U.S. Treasury bill fell by 1 basis point to 0.07% while the 3-month KLIBOR remained unchanged at 3.19% over the same period.
Looking ahead, the U.S. Treasury bond market is expected to remain well-supported in the medium term due to the sluggish outlook for the global economy.
On the domestic front, the MGS market is expected to remain supported amid uncertainty over the economic growth in the medium-term.
Saturday, March 24, 2012
CFD Trading
Contract for difference (CFD) may be defined as an agreement entered into by an authorised, regulated dealer and a trader so as to swap the difference that exists between the opening price and the closing price of a specific financial instrument. The dealer as well as the trader speculate on a financial instrument, like equity share, currency pair, stock index, or other trading instrument, on whether the price will rise or will it fall. As opposed to classic trading instruments, neither the trader nor the dealer own the financial instrument. The trader and the buyer will only own the speculation contract. Therefore, traders can sidestep the common duties and restrictions linked to most financial products.
Brief History of the Contract For Difference
This level of ownership, and the elasticity that comes with it, is the rationale why financial firms began presenting CFDs in the early part of the 80s. Initially CFDs were only offered to large companies, but by the early part of the 90s, they became well liked with hedge-fund dealers who wanted to benefit from the fluctuations of the market. By the decade’s end, CFDs became available in the U.K. Over the past few years, CFDs have grown in popularity, not just in the U.K. but also in Australia, Hong Kong, Singapore ,New Zealand, South Africa, and other countries across Europe.
Benefits of CFDs Trading
What makes CFDs so trendy? Apart from being extensively accessible and free of many of the usual limitations linked with most financial instruments, CFDs also have an assortment of benefits that appeal to dealers.
Trade More with Less: CFDs provide a degree of influence that presents traders the chance to take a position in the stock market with a part of the price.
Find Profit Potential in Rising or Falling Markets: With CFDs, dealers may look for profit by either buying (i.e going long) or by selling (i.e going short). In this way, dealers may make a profit from both rising and falling markets and also from short-term intraday fluctuations.
Trade Financial Products in a Wide Range of Markets: When a specific financial product is hot, dealers seek a piece of the action. Traders can utilize CFDs derived from the most recent financial products in order to make profit from the market movements. Buy and sell CFDs in FTSE 100, gold, EUR/USD, and others all at the same time and also on just one trading stage.
Manage Risk through Diversification: Since there are many financial instruments to trade, many dealers use CFDs to help branch out their portfolios, choosing an extensive variety of markets to help minimize their threat exposure, across various asset classes.
Execute Immediate Trades at Almost Any Time: Traders can right away execute CFD trades in more than 2,900 different global stock markets, 24 hours a day, 5.5 days every week, with negligible time outages.
Making your first CFD trade
Let’s take an in-depth look as to how CFDs work. For example, you have opened a £25,000 account with AM Financials and you are also interested in trading a CFD of a company called ABC Corp. ABC has produced an original new mobile phone that may result in the company becoming a market leader and cause their share price to rise. You expect to benefit from this opportunity. Like any skilled trader you decide to do a little analysis first.
You learned that ABC Corp share is trading at $5 per share. If you were to purchase 500 shares of stock, you would have to pay $2,500. At the same time, you discovered that an individual equity CFD that is based on 500 shares of ABC Corp share has a margin requirement, or requires a minimum deposit of 10%. This signifies that the outlay of the CFD is only $250.
Choosing a Position: When you trade shares, you speculate on one position only: can your stock go up. With CFDs, you can decide:
CFD Trading A buy position or "to go long"
This effectively means that you enter the market hoping that the value of that particular equity (in this case, the ABC stock) will rise.
CFD Trading A sell position or "to go short"
This means you enter the market hoping that the value of the individual equity will fall.
Saturday, March 17, 2012
WEEKLY HIGHLIGHTS
• The FBM KLCI rose to an 8-month intraday high of 1,594.7 points on Monday before closing at 1,579.0 points
to register a loss of 0.3% for the week.
• Regional markets generally closed lower on concerns over slower economic activities in China.
• Looking ahead, the performance of the local and regional markets will depend on improvement in U.S. economic
activities and developments in the Eurozone.
STOCKMARKET COMMENTARY
The FBM KLCI started the week on a strong note as it rose to an 8-month intraday high of 1,594.7 points on Monday. However, profit taking caused the FBM KLCI to ease and close at 1,579.0 points to register a marginal loss of 0.3% for the week. Average daily trading volume decreased to 1.6bil from 1.8bil in the preceding week while daily turnover in value terms eased to RM1.9bil from RM2.0bil over the same period. Regional markets generally closed lower on concerns over slower economic activities in China. The China ‘H’ shares and Hong Kong markets fell by 4.1% and 2.2% respectively for the week. However, the Japan market bucked the trend to rise by 1.3% over the same period on expectations of improved exports following the recent pull-back in the Yen against the U.S. dollar.
On Wall Street, the Dow eased to a 1-month low of 12,734.9 points on Tuesday on caution ahead of the deadline to finalise the debt deal between Greece and its private creditors. However, better-than-expected non-farm jobs data helped the Dow pare down its losses and close at 12,922.0 points, down 0.4% for the week. The broader-based S&P 500 index was 0.1% higher at 1,370.9 points over the week while the Nasdaq edged up by 0.4% to 2,988.3 points over the same period.
In the U.S., the labour market continued to improve as the non-farm jobs added 227,000 jobs in February (above market expectations of 210,000 jobs) compared to 284,000 jobs created in January.
Meanwhile, the unemployment rate held steady at a 3-year low of 8.3% in February. Crude oil prices rose to US$107.4/brl to register a weekly gain of 0.7% following a decrease in U.S. oil inventories. On the regional front, China’s inflation rate eased to a 20-month low of 3.2% in February from 4.5% in January due to lower food prices. The food inflation rate decreased to 6.2% from 10.5% over the same period. On the local front, Malaysia’s export growth decelerated to a 26-month low of 0.4% in January 2012 from 6.1% in December 2011 amid a higher pace of decline in electrical and electronic exports. Meanwhile, import growth eased to a 6- month low of 3.3% from 10.4% over the same period. As imports outpaced exports, Malaysia registered a trade surplus of RM8.8bil in January 2012 compared to RM10.0bil in January 2011. Malaysia’s foreign reserves were maintained at RM426.7bil as at 29th February 2012 on account of sustained capital inflows and positive trade balance. Bank Negara Malaysia kept the overnight policy rate unchanged at 3% during its meeting on 9th March 2012 to support domestic economic activities. On a weekly basis, the Ringgit remained firm to close at RM3.007 against the US$ while on a year-to-date basis, the Ringgit appreciated by 5.3% against the greenback. Looking ahead, the local market is anticipated to move in tandem with overseas markets as investors continue to monitor U.S. economic activities and developments in the Eurozone.
At the FBM KLCI’s closing level of 1,579.0 points on 9th March 2012, the local stock market is trading at a prospective P/E of 15.7x on 2012 earnings, which is lower than its 10-year average P/E ratio of 16.7x. The local market is supported by a gross dividend yield of about 3.5% which exceeds the 12-month fixed deposit rate of 3.15%. Other Markets’ Performance 9 Mar'12 2 Mar'12 % Weekly Dow Jones 12,922 12,978 -0.4 Nasdaq 2,988 2,976 +0.4
TOPIX 849 838 +1.3 SH Comp 2,439 2,461 -0.9 China*, H share 11,256 11,739 -4.1 MSCI China 6,169 6,304 -2.1
Hong Kong 21,086 21,562 -2.2 Taiwan 8,016 8,144 -1.6 South Korea 2,018 2,035 -0.8 Singapore 2,963 2,993 -1.0 Thailand 1,159 1,165 -0.6 Indonesia 3,992 4,005 -0.3
* Hang Seng China Enterprises Index Bursa Securities Market Valuations^
9 Mar'12 2 Mar'12 10 yr av.* FBM KLCI 1,579.00 1,583.78 - PER'12 (x) 15.70 15.81 16.67 Price/NTA(x) 5.29 5.41 2.79 3mth InterBk 3.19% 3.19% 3.12% 12mth FD, % 3.15% 3.15% - *2002-2011 average ^PMB In-House Statistics Malaysia’s Economic Snapshot 2010 2011 2012F GDP growth, % 7.2 5.1 4.5 Inflation, % 1.7 3.2 2.7 F=forecast
Bursa Securities 10 year P/E Ratio (x) Average: 16.7x 9 Mar'12 P/E on 2012 earnings: 15.7x 3
BOND MARKET COMMENTARY
For the fortnight ended 9th March 2012, the U.S. Treasury market weakened on reduced safe haven demand for Treasuries after private creditors agreed to participate in a debt deal for Greece. The 3 and 10-year Treasury yields rose by 1 basis point (bp) and 5 basis points (bps) to 0.44% and 2.03% respectively over the fortnight. However, the 5-year Treasury yield remained unchanged at 0.89% over the same period. The Malaysian Government Securities (MGS) market closed mixed amid a lack of fresh market drivers. The 3-year MGS yield fell by 1 bp to 2.95% over the fortnight while the 5 and 10-year MGS yields rose by 7 bps and 6 bps to 3.22% and 3.48% respectively over the same period. The local corporate bond market was thinly traded with the 3, 5 and 10-year AAA corporate bond yields rising by between 2 bps and 3 bps to 3.63%, 3.88% and 4.27% respectively over the fortnight. In the money market, the spread of the 3- month Kuala Lumpur Interbank Offer Rate (KLIBOR) over the yield of the 3-month U.S. Treasury bill rose to 311 bps from 310 bps over the fortnight ago as the 3-month U.S. Treasury bill fell by 1 bp to 0.08% while the 3-month KLIBOR remained unchanged at 3.19% over the same period. Looking ahead, the U.S. Treasury bond market is expected to remain well-supported in the medium term due to the sluggish outlook for the global economy.
On the domestic front, the MGS market is expected to remain supported amidst uncertainty over the economic growth in the medium-term.
STOCKMARKET COMMENTARY
STOCKMARKET COMMENTARY
The FBM KLCI started the week on a strong note as it rose to an 8-month intraday high of 1,594.7 points on Monday.
However, profit taking caused the FBM KLCI to ease and close at 1,579.0 points to register a marginal loss of 0.3% for the week.
Average daily trading volume decreased to 1.6bil from 1.8bil in the preceding week while daily turnover in value terms eased to RM1.9bil from RM2.0bil over the same period.
Regional markets generally closed lower on concerns over slower economic activities in China. The China ‘H’ shares and Hong Kong markets fell by 4.1% and 2.2% respectively for the week. However, the Japan market bucked the trend to rise by 1.3% over the same period on expectations of improved exports following the recent pull-back in the Yen against the U.S. dollar. On Wall Street, the Dow eased to a
1-month low of 12,734.9 points on Tuesday on caution ahead of the deadline to finalise the debt deal between Greece and its private creditors. However, better-than-expected non-farm jobs data helped the Dow pare down its losses and close at 12,922.0 points, down 0.4% for the week. The broader-based S&P 500 index was 0.1% higher at 1,370.9 points over the week while the Nasdaq edged up by 0.4% to
2,988.3 points over the same period.
In the U.S., the labour market continued to improve as the non-farm jobs added 227,000 jobs in February (above market expectations of 210,000 jobs) compared to 284,000 jobs created in January.
Meanwhile, the unemployment rate held steady at a 3-year low of 8.3% in February.
Crude oil prices rose to US$107.4/brl to register a weekly gain of 0.7% following a decrease in U.S. oil inventories. On the regional front, China’s inflation rate eased to a 20-month low of 3.2% in
February from 4.5% in January due to lower food prices. The food inflation rate decreased to 6.2% from 10.5% over the same period.
On the local front, Malaysia’s export growth decelerated to a 26-month low of 0.4% in January 2012 from 6.1% in December 2011 amid a higher pace of decline in electrical and electronic exports. Meanwhile, import growth eased to a 6- month low of 3.3% from 10.4% over the same period. As imports outpaced exports, Malaysia registered a trade surplus of RM8.8bil in January 2012 compared to RM10.0bil in January 2011. alaysia’s foreign reserves were maintained at RM426.7bil as at 29th February 2012 on account of sustained capital inflows and positive trade balance. Bank Negara Malaysia kept the overnight policy rate unchanged at 3% during its meeting on 9th March 2012 to support domestic economic activities. On a weekly basis, the Ringgit remained firm to close at RM3.007 against the US$ while on a year-to-date basis, the Ringgit appreciated by 5.3% against the greenback. Looking ahead, the local market is anticipated to move in tandem with overseas markets as investors continue to monitor U.S. economic activities and developments in the Eurozone. At the FBM KLCI’s closing level of 1,579.0 points on 9th March 2012, the local stock market is trading at a prospective P/E of 15.7x on 2012 earnings, which is lower than its 10-year average P/E ratio of 16.7x. The local market is supported by a gross dividend yield of about 3.5% which exceeds the 12-month fixed deposit rate of 3.15%.
Monday, March 12, 2012
WEEKLY HIGHLIGHTS
• The FBM KLCI rose to an 8-month intraday high of 1,594.7 points on Monday before closing at 1,579.0 points to register a loss of 0.3% for the week.
• Regional markets generally closed lower on concerns over slower economic activities in China.
• Looking ahead, the performance of the local and regional markets will depend on improvement in U.S. economic activities and developments in the Eurozone.
STOCKMARKET COMMENTARY
The FBM KLCI started the week on a strong note as it rose to an 8-month intraday high of 1,594.7 points on Monday.
However, profit taking caused the FBM KLCI to ease and close at 1,579.0 points to register a marginal loss of 0.3% for the week.
Average daily trading volume decreased to 1.6bil from 1.8bil in the preceding week while daily turnover in value terms eased to RM1.9bil from RM2.0bil over the same period. Regional markets generally closed lower on concerns over slower economic activities in China. The China ‘H’ shares and Hong Kong markets fell by 4.1% and 2.2% respectively for the week. However, the Japan market bucked the trend to rise by
1.3% over the same period on expectations of improved exports following the recent pull-back in the Yen against the U.S. dollar. On Wall Street, the Dow eased to a 1-month low of 12,734.9 points on Tuesday on caution ahead of the deadline to finalise the debt deal between Greece and its private creditors. However, better-than-expected non-farm jobs data helped the Dow pare down its losses and close at 12,922.0
points, down 0.4% for the week. The broader-based S&P 500 index was 0.1% higher at 1,370.9 points over the week while the Nasdaq edged up by 0.4% to 2,988.3 points over the same period.
In the U.S., the labour market continued to improve as the non-farm jobs added 227,000 jobs in February (above market expectations of 210,000 jobs) compared to 284,000 jobs created in January.
Meanwhile, the unemployment rate held steady at a 3-year low of 8.3% in February. Crude oil prices rose to US$107.4/brl to register a weekly gain of 0.7% following a decrease in U.S. oil inventories.
On the regional front, China’s inflation rate eased to a 20-month low of 3.2% in February from 4.5% in January due to lower food prices. The food inflation rate decreased to 6.2% from 10.5% over the
same period.
On the local front, Malaysia’s export growth decelerated to a 26-month low of 0.4% in January 2012 from 6.1% in December 2011 amid a higher pace of decline in electrical and electronic exports. Meanwhile, import growth eased to a 6- month low of 3.3% from 10.4% over the same period. As imports outpaced exports, Malaysia registered a trade surplus of RM8.8bil in January 2012 compared to
RM10.0bil in January 2011. alaysia’s foreign reserves were maintained at RM426.7bil as at 29th February 2012 on account of sustained capital inflows and positive trade balance. Bank Negara Malaysia kept the overnight policy rate unchanged at 3% during its meeting on 9th March 2012 to support domestic economic activities.
On a weekly basis, the Ringgit remained firm to close at RM3.007 against the US$ while on a year-to-date basis, the Ringgit appreciated by 5.3% against the greenback. Looking ahead, the local market is anticipated to move in tandem with overseas markets as investors continue to monitor U.S. economic activities and
developments in the Eurozone.
At the FBM KLCI’s closing level of 1,579.0 points on 9th March 2012, the local stock market is trading at a prospective P/E of 15.7x on 2012 earnings, which is lower than its 10-year average P/E ratio of 16.7x. The local market is supported by a gross dividend yield of about 3.5% which exceeds
the 12-month fixed deposit rate of 3.15%.
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